This paper investigates the predictive power of stock market returns in January for the subsequent eleven months' returns across 19 countries, thereby contributing to the literature on stock market seasonalities. Only two out of 19 countries' stock markets exhibit a robust Other January Eect. In...

Due to growing skepticism over the globalisation process across countries, economists in the emerging market economies (EMEs) are anxious to know how the integration of financial markets was associated with the recent global crisis and whether there could be some key lessons for the broader...

Motivated by the problems of the conventional model in rationalizing market data, we derive the equilibrium interest rate and risk premiums using recursive utility in a continuous time model. Two ordinally equivalent versions are considered. The state price is not Markov in any of the versions,...

We examine the UK equity premium over more than a century using dividend growth to estimate expectations of capital gains employing the approach of Fama and French (2002). Over recent decades estimated equity premia implied by dividend growth have been much lower than that produced by average...

Financial markets are increasingly fragmented. How to supply liquidity in this environment? Using an inventory model, we analyze how two strategic intermediaries compete across two venues that can be hit simultaneously by liquidity shocks of equal or opposite signs. Although order flow is...

Motivated by the problems of the conventional model in rationalizing market data, we derive the equilibrium interest rate and risk premiums using recursive utility in a continuous time model. We consider the version of recursive utility which gives the most unambiguous separation of risk...

We study the recursive model of Epstein and Zin. We use directional derivatives to derive the model, and calibrate to the data of Mehra and Prescott (1985). By assuming that we can view income streams as dividends of some shadow asset, the model is valid if the market portfolio is expanded to...

We derive the equilibrium interest rate and risk premiums using recursive utility with heterogeneity in a continuous time model. We solve the associated sup-convolution problem, and obtain explicit closed form solutions. The heterogeneous two-agent model is calibrated to the data of Mehra and...

Three mutually uncorrelated economic disturbances that we measure empirically explain 85% of the quarterly variation in real stock market wealth since 1952. A model is employed to interpret these disturbances in terms of three latent primitive shocks. In the short run, shocks that affect the...

We derive the equilibrium interest rate and risk premiums using recursive utility for jump-diffusions. Compared to to the continuous version, including jumps allows for a separate risk aversion related to jump size risk in addition to risk aversion related to the continuous part. The jump part...