Avaliação de tendências de longo prazo na execução orçamentária do Ministério da Educação entre 2003 e 2022

This text set out to survey long-term trends in the Ministry of Education - MEC budget. A first point was the construction of a twenty-year series of commitments settled in the MEC budget in open public consultations available to the general public. Having done this, a second point, already involving data analysis, was to establish whether there were long-term trends, a fact that was tested in nominal values and in real values. An analysis of two large aggregates was also carried out: the share of total expenditure on the payment of retired federal employees and their pensioners, that is, social security expenses, which may already show some downward trend due to social security reforms carried out around twenty years ago; and, the comparison of personnel expenses levels with other current expenses over the twenty-year series, also seeking to determine in these cases whether there is a long-term trend.